Research
Articles and Studies
Everything longer than a daily review, newest first. A study takes one question back as far as the data goes and lists every episode. An article is a longer read on what is moving stocks now. Both state their sources.
Educational commentary, not investment advice.
- Article
Nov 11, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Morning Map, Nov 11 2026: Chips vs Staples, CoreWeave's Backlog, Meta Retest Alert
A dated daily-chart map with a separate November 11 premarket sample.
- Article
Nov 11, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
SMH vs XLP: Chips Hit a Six-Month Low the Day Staples Hit a High
Two November 5 intraday extremes, shown on separate dated ETF charts.
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Nov 11, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
META: My Retest Alert Triggered at Its Support Zone, Stop Near $600
The November 10 paper-traded alert and the completed daily chart, without treating an alert as a trade.
- Article
Nov 11, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
CRWV: CoreWeave Reports a $132.5B Revenue Backlog
Q3 revenue scale, backlog and interest expense, with a daily chart ending before the release.
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Nov 11, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
After-Close Map Nov 10: October CPI, Nvidia, Hims & Hers, Take-Two and CoreWeave
October CPI lacked headline and core annual rates, Nvidia made another six-month intraday low, Hims & Hers and Take-Two split after their reports, and CoreWeave raised its outlook after the close.
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Nov 10, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Morning Map Nov 10: HIMS, Rocket Lab, Take-Two and On
Four attributed TradingView charts from the completed November 9 close alongside separately reported company filings and results.
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Nov 10, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
ONON: Record Q3 Sales and Unchanged Full-Year Outlook
On reported Q3 sales growth and record gross margin while keeping its full-year constant-currency sales outlook.
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Nov 10, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
HIMS: Huberman Board Appointment and Two Paid Deals
Hims & Hers disclosed a new board appointment and related paid agreements; chart levels use the completed November 9 close.
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Nov 10, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
TTWO: GTA VI Scheduled for November 19, Bookings View Kept
Take-Two maintained its fiscal 2027 bookings outlook and listed a scheduled November 19 GTA VI release; the chart uses the November 9 close.
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Nov 10, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
RKLB: Record Revenue, $3.57B Backlog and Neutron Timing
Rocket Lab reported record Q3 revenue and backlog after the November 9 close, while its first Neutron launch is targeted no earlier than 2027.
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Nov 9, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
After-Close Map Nov 9: QQQ, Nvidia, Hims & Hers and The Trade Desk
Four dated TradingView price-and-volume charts, plus the reported Hims & Hers and Trade Desk results
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Nov 9, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Morning Map Nov 9: Nvidia, SPY, CoreWeave and Hims & Hers Zones
Four TradingView charts from the completed November 6 close, plus Nvidia's board statement and Hims & Hers report schedule
- Article
Nov 8, 2026 · Sunday Recap · Updated Nov 8, 2026
Sunday Recap #6: SPY Above, QQQ Below the 200-Day
November 6's ETF split, two pre-results business checks, and a company-confirmed earnings watchlist for November 9–13.
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Nov 7, 2026 · Market Video, Earnings Week
Earnings Week Ahead Nov 9–13: 15 company-confirmed reports
Issuer-confirmed dates and sessions, what to watch, and November 6 chart context for 15 selected companies.
- Article
Nov 7, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
Palantir setup review: no 50-day reclaim by November 6
The daily close back above the 50-day average never arrived in the five sessions after the original setup.
- Article
Nov 7, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
SPY and the S&P 500: the November 6 midterm week
SPY fell 2.70% over the week; the S&P 500 index fell 2.68%. The ETF and index are measured separately.
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Nov 7, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
QQQ and the Nasdaq-100: the November 6 midterm week
The Nasdaq-100 index fell 4.91% over the week; QQQ fell 4.98% and closed below its 200-day average.
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Nov 7, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
NVIDIA weekly review: down 8.80% through November 6
Friday's rebound left NVIDIA below both its 50-day and 200-day averages.
- Article
Nov 7, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
AMD weekly review: Friday rebound, 11.05% weekly decline
AMD gained 11.04% Friday, but the completed week still ended lower.
- Article
Nov 7, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
Bloom Energy weekly review: down 14.73% through November 6
Bloom Energy ended the week below both moving averages after a November 5 intraday low.
- Study
Nov 6, 2026 · Adobe and Qualcomm earnings-versus-price recovery
Adobe and Qualcomm Weekly Recovery Watch | November 6, 2026
Adobe fell 4.37% and Qualcomm rose 0.38% for the week; both finished below their 50- and 200-session averages after Qualcomm's new results.
- Study
Nov 6, 2026 · Earnings, valuation and stock-price recovery
Earnings vs. Price: Recovery Watch
A weekly check of what companies earn, what forecasts assume, and whether their stock prices are recovering.
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Nov 6, 2026 · AI debt · Bonds and stocks
AI Debt — Week Ended November 6, 2026: Stocks Split, Bond Tape Held
Three of seven tracked AI stocks rose, the Treasury 10-year par yield fell eight basis points, and current corporate-bond trades remain unverified.
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Nov 6, 2026
S&P 500 ETF's Worst Week Since April 2025, Qs Under the 200-Day | After-Close Map Nov 6
SPY, QQQ and IWM all rose Friday but finished the week lower, with QQQ down 4.98%.
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Nov 6, 2026
IWM: Small Caps Up 1% Friday, Still Under Both Averages
IWM rose Friday after Thursday's drop but remained below both daily moving averages.
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Nov 6, 2026
QQQ: Up 1.4% Friday, Down Nearly 5% for the Week
QQQ rebounded Friday but ended a second session below its 200-day average.
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Nov 6, 2026
SPY: Worst Week Since April 2025, Just Above Its 200-Day
A small Friday rise left SPY just above its 200-day average after a 2.70% weekly decline.
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Charter Expense Plan Meets a Larger Internet Customer Decline
Charter Q3 results and November 5 completed-session chart
- Article
Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
TeraWulf HPC Lease Revenue Becomes Its Largest Revenue Line
TeraWulf Q3 results and November 5 completed-session chart
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Premarket Map Nov 6: Cloudflare Accelerates, Atlassian Raises Outlook, Airbnb Adds Buyback Authorization
Three after-close company reports with completed November 5 daily charts
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Atlassian Raises Fiscal 2027 Outlook as Cloud Revenue Grows
Atlassian earnings, outlook and a completed November 5 daily chart
- Article
Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Moderna Raises 2026 Revenue Growth Outlook to 15%–25%
Moderna earnings and outlook, with a November 5 completed-session chart
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Vistra Sets 2027 Guidance After a Strong Third Quarter
Vistra earnings and outlook, with a November 5 completed-session chart
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Cloudflare Revenue Accelerates as Gross Margin Slips
Cloudflare earnings, outlook and a completed November 5 daily chart
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Nov 6, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Airbnb Authorizes Up to $12 Billion More in Share Repurchases
Airbnb earnings, outlook and a completed November 5 daily chart
- Article
Nov 5, 2026 · Earnings, Guidance Tracker
Fall 2026 Earnings Guidance Tracker: Who Raised, Cut or Held (409 Companies)
Full-year outlook labels from each company's own SEC earnings release, filed Oct 1 to Nov 4, 2026
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Nov 5, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
After-Close Map Nov 4: AppLovin Profit Jumps, Qualcomm Autos Record, Snap Swings to Profit
Four after-the-bell reports plus where the Qs and the S&P 500 ETF closed the day after the midterms
- Article
Nov 5, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Premarket Map Nov 5: Core Scientific Revenue Nearly Triples, Shift4 Cuts Its Outlook
Four company reports filed before the open, with completed daily charts through the November 4 close
- Article
Nov 4, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch · Updated Nov 4, 2026
Premarket Map Nov 4: CVS Split, Arista Growth and SpaceX After the Midterms
Five dated company stories, completed daily charts and recorded early premarket context
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Nov 3, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
After-Close Map Nov 3: Duolingo, Super Micro, AMD, QQQ and SPY
Three reported earnings reactions, then the completed QQQ and SPY charts
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Nov 3, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Premarket Map Nov 3: Palantir, AMD, Super Micro, Apple and Dynatrace
Four dated chart stories from early Tuesday premarket trading, compared with Monday's completed U.S. session.
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Nov 3, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
After-Close Map: November 2 Market Charts and Company Results
Eleven dated charts connect the completed U.S. regular session with separately reported company results.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
AEHR After Close: Fiscal Q1 Growth and Dated Levels
Aehr reported fiscal first-quarter revenue up 200% and a separately frozen after-hours rise.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
FN After Close: Fiscal Q1 Growth and Dated Levels
Fabrinet reported fiscal first-quarter revenue growth above 50% and a separately frozen after-hours rise.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
PLTR After Close: Q3 Growth and November 2 Dated Levels
Palantir raised its full-year revenue guidance after reporting 96% third-quarter growth.
- Article
Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
AAPL After Close: Apple's Record September Quarter and Dated Levels
Apple reported record September-quarter revenue while its frozen after-hours price sat between two dated lows.
- Article
Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
NSSC After Close: Recurring Growth and the November 2 Low
Napco closed at $32.11, down 18.40%, after reporting fiscal first-quarter revenue growth of 1.7%.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
IDXX After Close: Q3 Growth and the November 2 High
IDEXX rose 21.85% after reporting third-quarter growth and raising its full-year outlook.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
QQQ After Close: November 2 Low and the 50-Day Average
The Qs closed the November 2 regular session at $681.09, down 1.36%, after a 1.97% decline the prior week.
- Article
Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
SMCI: Down 7.62% on Monday After a 0.03% Gain Last Week
Super Micro Computer finished the November 2 regular session at $30.44 (-7.62%). See its dated chart, moving averages and nearby levels.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
HOOD: Down 1.35% on Monday After a 10.60% Drop Last Week
Robinhood Markets finished the November 2 regular session at $83.84 (-1.35%). See its dated chart, moving averages and nearby levels.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
AMD: Down 7.52% on Monday After a 2.32% Drop Last Week
Advanced Micro Devices finished the November 2 regular session at $466.84 (-7.52%). See its dated chart, moving averages and nearby levels.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
SPY: Down 0.48% on Monday After a 0.56% Drop Last Week
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust finished the November 2 regular session at $752.10 (-0.48%). See its dated chart, moving averages and nearby levels.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Premarket Map: SPY, QQQ, AMD, NBIS, GOOGL and AVGO | November 2
Six dated charts from an early premarket snapshot, compared with completed October 30 daily bars.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Market Research
Midterm Election Weeks: Four Historical S&P 500 Comparisons
Four completed election weeks offer context, not a forecast for November 2026.
- Article
Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
Broadcom Premarket: October Low in Focus
Broadcom’s October 30 decline, dated lows and one frozen early November 2 premarket mark frame this chart review.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
Palantir Earnings Test: Friday Chart and Dated Levels
PLTR’s completed October 30 close, moving averages and dated levels frame its November 2 earnings release.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
Alphabet Premarket: Friday Low in Focus
Alphabet’s October 30 decline, dated chart levels and one frozen early November 2 premarket mark frame this chart review.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
Nebius Premarket Setup: Dated Levels After Friday's Drop
Nebius's October 30 decline, daily averages and one frozen early November 2 premarket mark frame this recorded chart review.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
AMD Premarket Setup Ahead of Tuesday Earnings
AMD's October 30 decline, dated chart levels and one frozen early premarket mark frame its November 3 earnings test.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
QQQ Premarket Setup: A Frozen Mark Near the May 12 Low
QQQ's October 30 close, daily averages and an early November 2 premarket observation frame this dated setup.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
SPY Premarket Setup: Dated Levels After Friday's Decline
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust's October 30 close, two daily averages and a frozen early November 2 premarket mark frame this recorded setup.
- Article
Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
SHOP: Down Over 6% for the Week, Above Both Averages
Shopify completed October 30 at $157.49. This dated chart review checks the weekly move, moving averages and nearby levels.
- Article
Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
INTC: Down Over 24% for the Week
Intel completed October 30 at $65.76. This dated chart review checks the weekly move, moving averages and nearby levels.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
GLD: Six-Month Low After Friday’s Slide
SPDR Gold Shares completed October 30 at $355.78. This dated chart review checks the weekly move, moving averages and nearby levels.
- Article
Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
SLV: Down 8.46% on the Week, Hit a Six-Month Low
iShares Silver Trust completed October 30 at $44.60. This dated chart review checks the weekly move, moving averages and nearby levels.
- Article
Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
NOW: Down 33.87% on the Week After Its Quarterly Report
ServiceNow completed October 30 at $105.12. This dated chart review checks the weekly move, moving averages and nearby levels.
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Nov 2, 2026 · Market Video, Daily Levels, Shorts
SPY: Below Its 50-Day After Friday’s 1.77% Drop
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust completed October 30 at $755.72. This dated chart review checks the weekly move, moving averages and nearby levels.
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Nov 1, 2026
Caterpillar at a six-month low: October 30 chart review
Caterpillar finished the October 30 week down 9.35%, with a six-month intraday low and a low daily RSI. See the exact levels and YieldTerminal Pro Short.
- Article
Nov 1, 2026
AST SpaceMobile weekly rebound: October 30 chart levels
AST SpaceMobile rose 2.97% over the five-session week but remained below both daily averages on October 30. See the dated chart and YieldTerminal Pro Short.
- Article
Nov 1, 2026
Arm earnings-week chart: below both daily averages
Arm closed October 30 at $205.97, below its 50-day and 200-day averages. See dated levels, its November 4 report context, and the YieldTerminal Pro Short.
- Article
Nov 1, 2026
Apple earnings call setup: October 30 chart and dated levels
Apple closed October 30 above its 50-day and 200-day averages ahead of its November 2 earnings call. See the exact levels, source method, and YieldTerminal Pro Short.
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Nov 1, 2026
Roku earnings setup: November 2 report and October 30 chart
Roku's October 30 close sat just below its 50-day average ahead of its November 2 report. See dated levels, the source method, and the YieldTerminal Pro Short.
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Nov 1, 2026 · Market Video, Weekly Setup
Earnings Week Setup: Palantir, Roku, Apple, Arm, Caterpillar and AST SpaceMobile
Six dated charts through the completed October 30 close, plus issuer-confirmed earnings questions for the week ahead.
- Article
Nov 1, 2026 · Sunday Recap · Updated Nov 1, 2026
Sunday Recap #5: The Qs Fell as Energy Led. What the Next Reports Test.
October’s split market, dated SPY and QQQ levels, AI stocks versus bonds, and the next issuer-confirmed earnings questions.
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Oct 31, 2026 · Market Video, Weekly Setup · Updated Oct 31, 2026
Saturday Setup, Oct 31: Next Week's Test for SPY, QQQ, Bitcoin, Apple and Broadcom
SPY and QQQ closed Oct 30 below their 50-day averages and above their 200-day. Dated levels for Bitcoin, Strategy, Apple, Broadcom, Nebius and AMD, plus next week's calendar.
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Oct 30, 2026 · Market Video, Month in Review · Updated Oct 30, 2026
October 2026 Market Review: The Qs Fell as Energy Led
SPY, QQQ and IWM took different paths while energy stocks rose. Oil spot data runs only through October 27.
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Oct 30, 2026 · AI debt · Bonds and stocks
AI Debt — Week Ended October 30, 2026
Six of seven corroborated AI stocks fell; the same eight Meta, Alphabet and Amazon bond last trades split four up and four down. Oracle remains held.
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Oct 29, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Oct 29, 2026
Split Close After the Fed: Alphabet, ServiceNow and After-Bell Results | October 29 After Close
SPY held its 50-day average while QQQ stayed below its own; Alphabet and ServiceNow fell, then Amazon and Coinbase reported.
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Oct 29, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Morning Watch: Fed Hold Meets an Earnings Split | GOOGL, MSFT, NOW
SPY, QQQ and IWM after the Fed hold, with three distinct earnings reactions
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Oct 28, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Oct 28, 2026
Fed Hold, Alphabet and ServiceNow After Hours | October 28 After Close
SPY, QQQ and IWM closed higher; Alphabet and ServiceNow fell in separately recorded after-hours trading after results.
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Oct 28, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch · Updated Oct 28, 2026
Fed Decision Day Morning Watch: SPY, QQQ, IWM and the Second Close
Recorded premarket levels for six tickers and a 24-meeting study of SPY and QQQ around scheduled Fed decisions.
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Oct 27, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Oct 27, 2026
Earnings Divide: October 27 After Close
SPY reclaimed its 50-day, QQQ remained below, and new Seagate, Robinhood and Visa results added the next test.
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Oct 27, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Earnings Test the Bounce: October 27 Morning Watch
Corning, SoFi and Coca-Cola results meet dated SPY, QQQ and Celestica chart levels.
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Oct 26, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Oct 26, 2026
Bounce Versus Cash: October 26 After Close
Completed October 26 daily levels, recorded after-hours observations and reported earnings from Celestica, Cadence and Rambus.
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Oct 26, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Cash vs Price: October 26 Morning Watch
Completed October 23 daily levels, separate recorded October 26 premarket observations, and the cash-versus-price test for WDC, Bloom and Newmont.
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Oct 25, 2026 · Market Video, Weekend Review
Sunday Index Deep Dive: Five Different Market Tests
Completed October 23 charts show different SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA and RSP structures, alongside separately dated SLB and American Express/Visa business tests.
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Oct 24, 2026 · Market Video, Weekend Review
Saturday Setup: A Split Market | SPY, QQQ and Stock Tests
Completed October 23 charts show weaker near-term SPY and QQQ positioning alongside firmer equal-weight performance, with separate Newmont and Deckers/On tests.
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Oct 23, 2026 · AI debt · Bonds and stocks
AI Debt — Week Ended October 23, 2026
Seven corroborated AI stocks fell; the same eight Meta, Alphabet and Amazon bond trades split, while Oracle’s close remains held.
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Oct 23, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
Friday Levels Break: MXL, Newmont, WDC and Bloom | After Close
Completed October 23 market levels and reported earnings cash flows
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Oct 23, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
October 23 Morning Watch: The Cash Divide After Four Earnings Reports
Completed October 22 market levels and four issuer earnings reports, with separate recorded October 23 premarket observations where corroborated.
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Oct 22, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
Bloom Energy and WDC Earnings: Growth, Cash and Broken Levels | After Close
October 22 After Close: Bloom Energy and Western Digital earnings, cash-flow differences, broken daily references and verified watchlist movers.
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Oct 22, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Rebound Under Pressure: Tesla, Meta and Lam After Earnings
October 22 Morning Watch: reported Saudi security risks, technology investment concerns, separate premarket prices and daily reclaim levels.
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Oct 21, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
Meta and Tesla Earnings: Profit, Spending and an Unfinished Reclaim
October 21 After Close: index reclaim conditions, Meta and Tesla earnings and cash flow, separate after-hours snapshots and ten watchlist movers.
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Oct 21, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Netflix and SpaceX: Opposite Premarket Reactions After Earnings
October 21 Morning Watch: Netflix and SpaceX reported results, separate premarket observations, SPY/QQQ daily recovery tests and Tesla ahead of earnings.
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Oct 20, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
Netflix and SpaceX Report: Earnings, Outlook and the Cash Test
October 20 After Close: uneven index recovery, actual Netflix and SpaceX results, separate after-hours snapshots and all ten qualifying-watchlist movers.
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Oct 20, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
Morning Watch: The Reclaim Test | GE and 3M Earnings
SPY and QQQ face Monday reclaim tests, Netflix and Tesla approach earnings, and GE and 3M reported results require separate earnings, cash and accounting comparisons.
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Oct 19, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
Stocks Rebound, Key Levels Remain Overhead
October 19 After Close: SPY and QQQ bounced, Cleveland-Cliffs extended its earnings move, Tesla reclaimed its 50-day, and Netflix slipped ahead of results.
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Oct 19, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
QQQ Bounce Test, Cleveland-Cliffs Earnings | Morning Watch (Oct 19)
SPY and QQQ recovery tests after the Friday selloff, newly reported Cleveland-Cliffs earnings, and Netflix and Tesla ahead of results.
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Oct 18, 2026 · Sunday Recap
Sunday Recap #3: Tech Breaks Lower. The Cash Test Comes Next.
QQQ's next levels, the AI stock–bond split and a 50-company earnings preview.
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Oct 18, 2026 · Market Video, Weekend Review
QQQ After the Selloff: The Levels That Matter Next
A Sunday chart review using October 16 completed trading: weekly context, daily moving averages, filled gaps, downside references and reclaim conditions.
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Oct 17, 2026 · Market Video, Test the Theory, Trading Setups
Does Buying the Retest Work? NVIDIA, Tesla & AMD Since 2020
A daily breakout and retest comparison across 94 completed NVIDIA, Tesla and AMD setups since 2020, including losses and missed trades.
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Oct 16, 2026 · AI debt · Bonds and stocks
AI Debt — End of Week, October 16
All eight tracked stocks fell this week, while the selected Meta, Alphabet and Amazon bond trade prices firmed.
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Oct 16, 2026 · Market Video, After Close
Tech Breaks Lower: QQQ Loses the September Gap
October 16 After Close: SPY and QQQ weakened, Tesla reversed its early jump, and the final closing watchlist separated energy and defense gains from AI-infrastructure losses.
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Oct 16, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Tesla Rallies, Netflix Drops | SPY & QQQ Morning Watch (Oct 16)
October 16 premarket: Tesla +4.15%, Netflix -2.52%. SPY, QQQ and Google daily levels, gaps and moving averages in a dated five-chart review.
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Oct 15, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Oct 15, 2026
Micron & CoreWeave Bounce Back | After Close, Oct 15
SPY recovers, QQQ nearly erases its morning decline, and Micron and CoreWeave rebound. Closing levels, TSMC earnings and Top 5 Up/Down charts.
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Oct 15, 2026 · Market Video, Morning Watch
PPI Rises 1.3%: SPY, QQQ, Micron, CoreWeave & TSMC | Oct 15
September PPI rises 1.3%. Review SPY, QQQ, Micron, CoreWeave and TSMC with an 8:35 a.m. ET snapshot, daily gaps and levels to reclaim.
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Oct 14, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Oct 14, 2026
CoreWeave Drops 15%, Tech Slides After CPI | October 14 Market Close
The October 14 close: SPY, QQQ, CoreWeave, GlobalFoundries and SoFi, plus the qualifying watchlist’s Top 5 up and down.
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Oct 14, 2026 · Market Video, Market Update, CPI · Updated Oct 14, 2026
After CPI: CoreWeave Sinks, GFS Rises — October 14
SPY, QQQ, CoreWeave, GlobalFoundries and SoFi at 10:12 a.m. ET, plus ASML and Bank of America earnings charts.
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Oct 13, 2026 · Market Video, After Close · Updated Oct 13, 2026
After Close: Vistra Rebounds, Tech Still Lags — October 13
SPY, QQQ, Vistra, Micron and SoFi from morning to close, plus individual charts for the qualifying watchlist’s five gainers and five losers.
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Oct 13, 2026 · Morning Watch, SPY · QQQ · VST · MU · SOFI · Updated Oct 13, 2026
Morning Watch: Tech Under Pressure Before CPI — October 13
SPY, QQQ, Micron, Vistra and SoFi: dated pre-market notes, with levels to reclaim, the wider trading ranges and insider-sale context.
- Article
Oct 11, 2026 · Sunday Recap
Sunday Recap #2
The second 5.2% Friday since 2017, and a profit line that stopped matching its cash.
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Oct 9, 2026 · AI debt · Bonds and stocks
AI Debt — End of Week, October 9
The same eight Meta, Alphabet and Amazon bonds, all with October 9 trades, alongside a week in which the AI stocks split down the middle.
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Oct 5, 2026 · The 10-year Treasury yield and US recessions · 8 episodes
Does a High 10-Year Mean a Recession Is Coming?
Recessions have begun with the 10-year at 14.94% and at 0.87%. The level does not separate recessions from anything else. The shape of the curve does, and it is not inverted today.
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Oct 4, 2026 · Sunday Recap
Sunday Recap #1: Cheap Earnings Aren't a Turnaround
The week's levels checked against what the market actually did, the week's biggest movers, and eight company-confirmed dates for the week ahead.
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Oct 2, 2026 · Earnings, valuation and price recovery · ADBE / QCOM
Adobe vs. Qualcomm: Earnings Growth Is Not a Turnaround.
Adobe's earnings grew while its price weakened. QCOM's earnings weakened while its chart began repairing. Both use the same trailing adjusted P/E calculation.
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Oct 2, 2026 · AI debt · Bonds and stocks
AI Debt — End of Week, October 2
The same eight Meta, Alphabet and Amazon bonds from September 25, with updated traded prices and yields, alongside the week in AI stocks.
- Study
Oct 1, 2026 · VIX · 16 episodes
The Coiled Spring Nobody Counted
The VIX's six-month range is in the bottom tenth since 2003, and the reflex reading is that a spike is loading. Across 579 compressed days, held against days at the same VIX level, big spikes followed less often rather than more. The size of that gap does not survive dropping 2003 and 2004, and this piece shows which half does.
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Oct 1, 2026 · US Treasury debt buybacks · 4 episodes
The Buyback Was Already on the Calendar
Treasury bought back $6bn of its own debt and the reflex reading was that it is bullish for Bitcoin. Across all 161 operations since the program went live, buyback days are indistinguishable from ordinary days, and the headline number was a maximum Treasury had announced in advance.
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Sep 29, 2026 · Closed-end funds, Private markets, AI · Updated Sep 29, 2026
The Anthropic Fund That Looks Like a Tech Trust
BST's second largest holding is a company you cannot buy, and it carries nearly twice the Anthropic weight of the fund actually marketed as private venture access.
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Sep 29, 2026 · IPOs, Concentration, Index investing · Updated Sep 29, 2026
One Name Out of Fifty Carried the Whole Thing
The 50 largest US listings since 2020, measured from the price you could actually get. Palantir alone made more than the basket made in total, which means the other 49 were a net loss.
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Sep 27, 2026 · Megacap long bonds issued in 2020 · 7 episodes
The 2020 Vintage: Everyone Who Bought a Long Bond Was Buying an All-Time High
Seven long bonds from Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Oracle, Nvidia and Meta. Every one is deep underwater, and every one trades at a tighter credit spread than the day it was issued.
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Sep 26, 2026 · Corporate bonds after issue · 4 episodes
What Happens to a Bond After You Buy It
An Oracle 30-year issued in February is quoted near 84 today. Four bonds from the past show the three ways that story ends, with dated prices from fund filings rather than estimates.
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Sep 26, 2026 · S&P 500 names near 52-week lows · 16 episodes
The De-Rating List: Same Screen, Opposite Meaning
136 S&P 500 names sit within 10% of their 52-week low. Splitting them by operating income separates a multiple coming in from earnings going the wrong way, and most lists never do it.
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Sep 25, 2026 · AI capex financing · 4 episodes
The yields that didn't kill the AI trade
The 10-year hit its highest since 2007 and the AI buildout's existing debt did not get one dollar more expensive. What repriced was the next dollar, not the last one.
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Sep 23, 2026 · AMZN · 15 episodes
Every $AMZN Drop of 10% or More Since 2014
Fifteen drawdowns, from 10.8% to 56%. Only four of them were the whole market falling, and the one it is in right now is not.
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Sep 16, 2026 · Rates, Global bonds, Fed
Ahead of the Fed: High Bond Yields Across Major Markets, With China an Outlier
The Fed decides at 2 PM. Borrowing costs sit at two-decade highs across the major markets we checked, and the one big exception has the opposite problem.
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Sep 14, 2026 · AI stocks, Balance sheets · Updated Sep 15, 2026
Borrowers Down, Payers Up
Is Monday's premarket split in AI stocks about balance sheets rather than stories?
Also here: the daily stock review, the twice-daily movers and the week ahead in earnings.
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