October ended with a split market. From the completed September 30 to October 30 closes, QQQ fell 6.66%, SPY fell 0.91%, and IWM gained 0.52%. Nine of eleven tracked sector ETFs rose, led by energy at 13.85%. These are close-to-close price returns, not total returns or an explanation of what caused the moves. Read the October Month in Review.
The chart test for the week ahead
SPY and QQQ both closed October 30 below their 50-day simple averages but above their 200-day averages. SPY finished at $755.72, with a 50-day average of $767.49 and a 200-day average of $728.85. QQQ finished at $690.49, with a 50-day average of $725.00 and a 200-day average of $679.52. The short-term trend is weaker while the longer moving-average reference remains below the close. A recovery claim needs a daily close back above the relevant average, followed by a daily retest that also closes above; an intraday touch alone does not settle it. See the dated Saturday Setup charts.
Stocks and bonds did not move in lockstep
In the latest AI Stocks vs Bonds weekly study, six of seven AI-company shares with corroborated October 30 closes fell versus October 23. CoreWeave rose; Oracle's exact return remains held because providers differ by one cent on its October 30 close. The same eight selected Meta, Alphabet and Amazon corporate-bond last-trade prices split four up and four down. Those FINRA observations are individual trades per $100 face, not synchronized closing marks or total returns. The study also separates company cash-flow evidence from bond-price moves.
The next earnings questions
The November 2 earnings board lists issuer-confirmed dates. Palantir and Roku plan to report Monday after the close. Apple confirms a Monday call, but its source does not establish the release session; the release session remains unspecified. Arm and Qualcomm plan to report Wednesday after the close. For Palantir, watch U.S. commercial and government growth alongside cash conversion. Read the Palantir Stock of the Day review. For Roku, platform revenue, streaming hours and free cash flow matter; the issuer says it will not give an outlook this quarter during its pending acquisition by Fox. For Arm, royalty versus licensing revenue is the key split. For Qualcomm, handset, automotive, IoT and licensing provide the comparable business lines within its own filings. Read the Arm vs Qualcomm Stock vs Stock comparison. None of these reports had been released as of November 1.
Six stocks for the week ahead
Week = October 23 close to October 30 close. Completed daily closes, cross-checked to CNBC and Nasdaq.
- Palantir (PLTR): -6.42%. It closed at $184.11, just under its 50-day average of $186.90 and above its 200-day. It reports Monday after the close.
- Roku (ROKU): -2.18%. It closed at $155.12, a few cents under its 50-day average. It reports Monday after the close, with no call and no outlook this quarter because of its pending acquisition by Fox Corporation.
- Apple (AAPL): -0.89%. It closed at $344.63, above both its 50-day and 200-day averages and about 2% below its October 23 six-month high of $351.73. Apple confirmed a Monday earnings call; the report's release session remains unconfirmed.
- Arm (ARM): -2.07%. A 9.97% drop on Friday erased the week's earlier gain. It closed at $205.97, below both its 50-day and 200-day averages. It reports Wednesday after the close.
- Caterpillar (CAT): -9.35%. Friday's intraday low of $616.66 was its lowest in six months. Its 14-day RSI was near 24 on the completed October 30 close, the lowest since April 2025 in the checked daily-close series; TradingView matched the current reading.
- AST SpaceMobile (ASTS): +2.97%. It gained in the week after its October 23 six-month low of $36.72, but it is down 43.6% this year and below both long averages.
Separate chart Shorts for these names appear on the YieldTerminal Pro YouTube channel as they are released.
This is educational market research, not a recommendation to buy or sell.