← Back to all articles

Articles · Market Video, Morning Watch

Morning Watch: Fed Hold Meets an Earnings Split | GOOGL, MSFT, NOW

SPY, QQQ and IWM after the Fed hold, with three distinct earnings reactions

Published Oct 29, 2026

Watch on YouTube ↗

TL;DR

  • SPY's October 28 close was above its 50-day average; QQQ's recorded premarket print was below its own.
  • Alphabet and ServiceNow had large recorded premarket declines, while Microsoft was higher.
  • Completed daily candles and separately marked premarket prints frame conditional levels, not forecasts.

The Federal Reserve held its target range on October 28. SPY and QQQ finished that regular session higher, but the separately recorded October 29 premarket picture split: SPY was slightly lower, QQQ was down about 1%, and IWM edged higher. Alphabet and ServiceNow were sharply lower; Microsoft was higher. These are dated observations, not live prices or completed daily candles.

SPY: near its 50-day average

SPY closed October 28 at $772.31. The recorded premarket print was $770.01, down 0.29% from that close. The completed close sat above the 50-day average at $767.63 and the 200-day at $728.15. A regular-session close below the 50-day line would bring the October 23 intraday low at $758.68 into view as a dated reference; the October 6 intraday high at $781.62 marks the upper side of this range.

SPY: completed bars through October 28; premarket print marked separately.

QQQ: an early print below its 50-day line

QQQ closed at $725.61, just above its 50-day average of $725.42. The recorded premarket print was $717.51, below that average. A daily close back above the average would be stronger evidence than a premarket print. The October 23 intraday low at $701.16 is the lower dated marker; the October 6 intraday high at $762.86 shows how much of the earlier decline remains unrecovered.

QQQ: the early print is below its 50-day average.

IWM: between its two averages

IWM closed at $281.29 and the recorded premarket print was $282.33. Its completed close was below the 50-day average at $285.00 and above the 200-day at $278.53. The October 16 intraday low at $269.88 remains a lower range reference. A daily close above the 50-day or below the 200-day would change that in-between position.

IWM: between its 50-day and 200-day averages.

Alphabet: price and cash tell different parts of the story

GOOGL closed at $324.89; the recorded premarket print was $290.31, down 10.64%. That early print was below its 50-day and 200-day averages, $341.51 and $341.20, and below the October 26 intraday low at $316.60. Regular-session trading will establish whether any of those older levels are reclaimed.

GOOGL: recorded premarket print below older chart references.

Alphabet reported quarterly revenue of about $127.6 billion, including about $30.7 billion from Google Cloud. Operating cash flow was about $42.3 billion, while purchases of property and equipment were about $51.4 billion. Alphabet's own free cash flow measure was negative by about $9.1 billion for the quarter. The premarket move alone does not identify which part of the report investors weighed most.

Alphabet: cash from operations and property purchases shown separately.

Microsoft: higher, but still below an old high

MSFT closed at $531.01. The recorded premarket print was $545.57, up 2.74%, below the October 13 intraday high at $551.15. Its completed close was above the 50-day and 200-day averages, $511.18 and $437.32. A daily close above the dated high would carry more weight than the early print.

MSFT: early print below its October 13 intraday high.

Microsoft reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of about $92.3 billion and Microsoft Cloud revenue of about $63.9 billion. Cash additions to property and equipment were about $39.4 billion; GAAP diluted earnings per share were $4.92. These measures use different definitions from Alphabet's and should not be ranked using one raw pair of numbers.

Microsoft: company-reported revenue, cloud and capital spending.

ServiceNow: a large early gap below recent levels

NOW closed at $150.13. The recorded premarket print was $121.50, down 19.07%, below the 50-day average at $139.53 and October 2 intraday low at $133.47. Its 200-day average was $115.28. The first regular-session close after the gap will be more informative than the early print.

NOW: early print below its recent intraday low.

ServiceNow reported about $4 billion in subscription revenue. GAAP operating margin was 9.5%; adjusted operating margin was 32.5%. These are different accounting measures. It also reported about $822 million of free cash flow under its non-GAAP definition.

ServiceNow: GAAP and adjusted margins use different definitions.

What to watch

The key test is where the regular session closes against these dated levels. Charts use completed daily candles and share volume through October 28, with premarket observations marked separately. The right-side volume-by-price display is an estimate from a limited BATS sample. It does not show who bought or sold, and no level is a forecast.

Sources: Federal Reserve statement, Alphabet results, Microsoft results, ServiceNow results. Watch the full video and browse Daily Levels.

Market research only, not a recommendation to buy or sell.

Get the Sunday Recap by email

One email a week. Every issue is published on the site too, so this is only about getting it in your inbox.

Subscribing signs you up for the free YieldTerminal Sunday recap, one email a week. Educational only, not financial advice. Unsubscribe any time.

Educational commentary, not a recommendation to buy or sell anything.