SPY — October 23 Morning Watch — daily
Each note as it was published, with the price that followed. We publish where price sits against its own levels, not where it is going, so nothing here is scored as right or wrong. Educational commentary, not investment advice.
24 notes, newest first, back to Tue, 13 Oct 2026.
Every level we marked, and what price did next. Free, Sundays.
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762.56 Earlier recorded October 23 premarket observation
Earlier recorded October 23 premarket $762.56 against completed October 22 close $763.96 and low $761.17. The later verified $760.58 observation is recorded separately; it is not plotted on this earlier chart.
No session has closed since this was published.
760.58 Later recorded October 23 premarket observation; separate from completed daily candle
Later recorded October 23 Nasdaq premarket $760.58 (Yahoo near $760.51), below the completed October 22 intraday low $761.17. That low now needs a reclaim, then a daily retest and close above. This later point is not plotted in the preserved earlier chart.
No session has closed since this was published.
759.97 October 23 completed regular-session close
SPY completed October 23 regular-session daily chart: close 759.97; 20-day SMA 770.15, 50-day SMA 767.81, 200-day SMA 727.01; October 23 intraday low 758.68; October 22 intraday low 761.17.
No session has closed since this was published.
759.97 October 23 completed regular-session close
Completed October 23 regular-session close $759.97, below 20-day, below 50-day, above 200-day. Daily reclaim conditions are distinct from an intraday touch.
No session has closed since this was published.
759.97 October 23 completed U.S. regular-session close
SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA and RSP closing-price paths on 75 matched U.S. sessions through October 23, 2026, each indexed to 100 at the first close. Price-only comparison; distributions excluded.
No session has closed since this was published.
759.97 October 23 completed U.S. regular-session close
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) daily chart through October 23, 2026. Completed close 759.97, 20-day average 770.15, 50-day 767.81, 200-day 727.01.
No session has closed since this was published.
766.04 October 22 premarket observation
Separate October 22 premarket $766.04 (-0.91%) against completed October 21 daily references.
| After | Close | vs Thu, 22 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 759.97 | -0.52% | -0.79% |
This note was marked to a October 22 premarket observation, not a close. The like-for-like column is the one measured from the Thu, 22 Oct 2026 close.
764.06 October 22 completed regular-session close
SPY: completed October 22 regular-session daily chart, close 764.06; 20-day SMA through October 22 770.72; 50-day SMA through October 22 768.17; 200-day SMA through October 22 726.65; October 21 intraday high 774.44; October 21 intraday low 768.40.
No session has closed since this was published.
769.249 October 21 premarket observation
Separate October 21 premarket $769.25 (+0.03%) against completed October 20 daily references.
No session has closed since this was published.
Completed regular close $773.17, +0.54% versus October 20. 20-day SMA $770.88; 50-day SMA $768.34; 200-day SMA $726.29. October 21 high $774.43, low $768.40.
| After | Close | vs Wed, 21 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 763.96 | — | — |
764.78 October 20 dated premarket observation / separate from completed daily candles
The dated October 20 premarket observation $764.78 was below Monday's $765.82 intraday low. That level and the $768.37 50-day/$770.83 20-day averages need daily recovery and confirmation; Friday's close and intraday low remain separate dated references.
No session has closed since this was published.
769.32 October 20 completed regular-session close
Completed regular close $769.32, +0.37%. 20-day SMA $770.63, 50-day $768.29, 200-day $725.87. A daily retest and close above a reclaimed level remains the confirmation rule.
No session has closed since this was published.
767.02 October 19 premarket Morning Watch edition
The observed premarket rebound remains below the 50- and 20-session averages. A daily test and close above the recovered level is required for a successful retest.
No session has closed since this was published.
766.60 October 19 completed regular-session close
SPY traded above the morning 50-day reference but closed back below it. The updated 50-day and 20-day remain recovery tests; Friday’s $763.25 close and $760.64 intraday low remain dated downside references. A daily test and close above a recovered level would strengthen the repair.
No session has closed since this was published.
773.365 October 16 premarket - Morning Watch edition
The retained premarket mark is just above the October 15 intraday high. The 20- and 50-session averages are the nearby daily references beneath it.
| After | Close | vs Fri, 16 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 766.48 | +0.42% | -0.89% |
| 5 sessions | 759.97 | -0.43% | -1.73% |
This note was marked to a October 16 premarket - Morning Watch edition, not a close. The like-for-like column is the one measured from the Fri, 16 Oct 2026 close.
763.23 October 16 regular close · After Close
SPY — Lost the nearby averages
| After | Close | vs Fri, 16 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 766.48 | — | +0.43% |
| 5 sessions | 759.97 | — | -0.43% |
767.19 October 15 premarket observation 2026-10-15T08:35:02-04:00
SPY: October 14 regular close $769.60; October 15 observed premarket $767.19 (-0.31%).
| After | Close | vs Thu, 15 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 763.25 | -1.11% | -0.51% |
| 5 sessions | 763.96 | -1.01% | -0.42% |
This note was marked to a October 15 premarket observation 2026-10-15T08:35:02-04:00, not a close. The like-for-like column is the one measured from the Thu, 15 Oct 2026 close.
771.77 October 15 completed regular close — After Close edition
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust closed at $771.77 (+0.28% versus October 14). The closing chart compares the retained morning setup with the completed session and dated daily references.
| After | Close | vs Thu, 15 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 763.25 | — | -1.10% |
| 5 sessions | 763.96 | — | -1.01% |
772.65 10:12 a.m. ET regular-session observation
SPY is -0.69% versus the October 13 regular close at this 10:12 a.m. ET observation.
| After | Close | vs Wed, 14 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 771.79 | +0.28% | -0.11% |
| 5 sessions | 773.09 | +0.45% | +0.06% |
This note was marked to a 10:12 a.m. ET regular-session observation, not a close. The like-for-like column is the one measured from the Wed, 14 Oct 2026 close.
772.65 10:12 a.m. ET regular-session observation
SPY is below the October 13 and October 9 lows; those are reclaim references, with the October 8 low below.
| After | Close | vs Wed, 14 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 771.79 | +0.28% | -0.11% |
| 5 sessions | 773.09 | +0.45% | +0.06% |
This note was marked to a 10:12 a.m. ET regular-session observation, not a close. The like-for-like column is the one measured from the Wed, 14 Oct 2026 close.
772.65 10:12 a.m. ET regular-session observation
SPY is below the October 13 and October 9 lows; those are reclaim references, with the October 8 low below.
| After | Close | vs Wed, 14 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 771.79 | +0.28% | -0.11% |
| 5 sessions | 773.09 | +0.45% | +0.06% |
This note was marked to a 10:12 a.m. ET regular-session observation, not a close. The like-for-like column is the one measured from the Wed, 14 Oct 2026 close.
769.67 October 14 regular-session close
SPY closed at $769.67, -1.07% versus the October 13 regular close. The retained morning observation remains separate.
| After | Close | vs Wed, 14 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 771.79 | — | +0.28% |
| 5 sessions | 773.09 | — | +0.44% |
769.67 October 14 regular-session close
SPY: -1.21% from the earlier closing peak to the subsequent closing low. The October 14 close is that subsequent low in the retained history; no later closing rebound has occurred.
| After | Close | vs Wed, 14 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 771.79 | — | +0.28% |
| 5 sessions | 773.09 | — | +0.44% |
778.01 October 13 regular-session close
SPY closed at $778.01, still below the October 6 intraday high at $781.62.
| After | Close | vs Tue, 13 Oct 2026 close | vs published price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | 769.60 | — | -1.08% |
| 5 sessions | 769.05 | — | -1.15% |
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